The Resource Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
Resource Information
The item Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor represents a specific, individual, material embodiment of a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in University of San Diego Libraries.This item is available to borrow from 1 library branch.
Resource Information
The item Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor represents a specific, individual, material embodiment of a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in University of San Diego Libraries.
This item is available to borrow from 1 library branch.
- Summary
- "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher
- Language
- eng
- Extent
- 1 online resource (vi, 198 pages)
- Note
- "An American Interest Book."
- Contents
-
- The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama
- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner
- Cases: looking back
- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes
- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz
- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale
- Cases: looking ahead
- The once and future DARPA / William B. Bonvillian
- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin
- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett
- Forecasting
- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall
- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert
- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / M. Mitchell Waldrop
- What could be
- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook
- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett
- American scenarios
- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Ruth Wedgwood, Anne Applebaum, Bernard-Henri Lévy, Josef Joffe, Peter Schwartz, and Francis Fukuyama
- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama
- Notes
- Contributors
- Index
- Isbn
- 9780815729891
- Label
- Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics
- Title
- Blindside
- Title remainder
- how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics
- Statement of responsibility
- Francis Fukuyama, editor
- Language
- eng
- Summary
- "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher
- Action
- digitized
- Cataloging source
- N$T
- http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/collectionName
- American interest
- Index
- index present
- Literary form
- non fiction
- Nature of contents
-
- dictionaries
- bibliography
- http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
- Fukuyama, Francis
- http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
-
- Emergency management
- International relations
- NATURE
- SOCIAL SCIENCE
- Emergency management
- International relations
- United States
- Wereldcrises
- Voorspellingen
- Voorzorg
- Rampen
- 11 September 2001
- Label
- Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
- Note
- "An American Interest Book."
- Antecedent source
- unknown
- Bibliography note
- Includes bibliographical references (pages 173-180) and index
- Carrier category
- online resource
- Carrier category code
-
- cr
- Carrier MARC source
- rdacarrier
- Color
- multicolored
- Content category
- text
- Content type code
-
- txt
- Content type MARC source
- rdacontent
- Contents
- The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William B. Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / M. Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Ruth Wedgwood, Anne Applebaum, Bernard-Henri Lévy, Josef Joffe, Peter Schwartz, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Notes -- Contributors -- Index
- Control code
- ocn173812431
- Dimensions
- unknown
- Extent
- 1 online resource (vi, 198 pages)
- File format
- unknown
- Form of item
- online
- Isbn
- 9780815729891
- Level of compression
- unknown
- Media category
- computer
- Media MARC source
- rdamedia
- Media type code
-
- c
- Note
- JSTOR
- http://library.link/vocab/ext/overdrive/overdriveId
- 22573/ctt5zfxf1
- Quality assurance targets
- not applicable
- Reformatting quality
- unknown
- Reproduction note
- Electronic reproduction.
- Sound
- unknown sound
- Specific material designation
- remote
- System control number
- (OCoLC)173812431
- System details
- Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002.
- Label
- Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
- Note
- "An American Interest Book."
- Antecedent source
- unknown
- Bibliography note
- Includes bibliographical references (pages 173-180) and index
- Carrier category
- online resource
- Carrier category code
-
- cr
- Carrier MARC source
- rdacarrier
- Color
- multicolored
- Content category
- text
- Content type code
-
- txt
- Content type MARC source
- rdacontent
- Contents
- The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William B. Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / M. Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Ruth Wedgwood, Anne Applebaum, Bernard-Henri Lévy, Josef Joffe, Peter Schwartz, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Notes -- Contributors -- Index
- Control code
- ocn173812431
- Dimensions
- unknown
- Extent
- 1 online resource (vi, 198 pages)
- File format
- unknown
- Form of item
- online
- Isbn
- 9780815729891
- Level of compression
- unknown
- Media category
- computer
- Media MARC source
- rdamedia
- Media type code
-
- c
- Note
- JSTOR
- http://library.link/vocab/ext/overdrive/overdriveId
- 22573/ctt5zfxf1
- Quality assurance targets
- not applicable
- Reformatting quality
- unknown
- Reproduction note
- Electronic reproduction.
- Sound
- unknown sound
- Specific material designation
- remote
- System control number
- (OCoLC)173812431
- System details
- Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002.
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<div class="citation" vocab="http://schema.org/"><i class="fa fa-external-link-square fa-fw"></i> Data from <span resource="http://link.sandiego.edu/portal/Blindside--how-to-anticipate-forcing-events-and/rjp5MaFJdFY/" typeof="Book http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/Item"><span property="name http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/label"><a href="http://link.sandiego.edu/portal/Blindside--how-to-anticipate-forcing-events-and/rjp5MaFJdFY/">Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor</a></span> - <span property="potentialAction" typeOf="OrganizeAction"><span property="agent" typeof="LibrarySystem http://library.link/vocab/LibrarySystem" resource="http://link.sandiego.edu/"><span property="name http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/label"><a property="url" href="http://link.sandiego.edu/">University of San Diego Libraries</a></span></span></span></span></div>
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<div class="citation" vocab="http://schema.org/"><i class="fa fa-external-link-square fa-fw"></i> Data from <span resource="http://link.sandiego.edu/portal/Blindside--how-to-anticipate-forcing-events-and/rjp5MaFJdFY/" typeof="Book http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/Item"><span property="name http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/label"><a href="http://link.sandiego.edu/portal/Blindside--how-to-anticipate-forcing-events-and/rjp5MaFJdFY/">Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor</a></span> - <span property="potentialAction" typeOf="OrganizeAction"><span property="agent" typeof="LibrarySystem http://library.link/vocab/LibrarySystem" resource="http://link.sandiego.edu/"><span property="name http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/label"><a property="url" href="http://link.sandiego.edu/">University of San Diego Libraries</a></span></span></span></span></div>