The Resource Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
Resource Information
The item Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor represents a specific, individual, material embodiment of a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in University of San Diego Libraries.This item is available to borrow from 1 library branch.
Resource Information
The item Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor represents a specific, individual, material embodiment of a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in University of San Diego Libraries.
This item is available to borrow from 1 library branch.
- Summary
- "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher
- Language
- eng
- Extent
- vi, 198 p.
- Note
- "An American Interest Book."
- Contents
-
- The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama
- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner
- Cases: looking back
- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes
- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz
- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale
- Cases: looking ahead
- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian
- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin
- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett
- Forecasting
- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall
- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert
- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop
- What could be
- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook
- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett
- American scenarios
- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama
- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama
- Contributors
- Index
- Isbn
- 9780815729907
- Label
- Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics
- Title
- Blindside
- Title remainder
- how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics
- Statement of responsibility
- Francis Fukuyama, editor
- Language
- eng
- Summary
- "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher
- Cataloging source
- DLC
- Index
- index present
- LC call number
- HV551.3
- LC item number
- .B57 2007
- Literary form
- non fiction
- Nature of contents
- bibliography
- http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
- Fukuyama, Francis
- http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
-
- Emergency management
- International relations
- Wereldcrises
- Voorspellingen
- Voorzorg
- Rampen
- 11 September 2001
- Label
- Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
- Note
- "An American Interest Book."
- Bibliography note
- Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index
- Contents
- The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index
- Control code
- 156784828
- Dimensions
- 24 cm
- Extent
- vi, 198 p.
- Isbn
- 9780815729907
- Isbn Type
- (cloth : alk. paper)
- Lccn
- 2007027757
- System control number
- (OCoLC)156784828
- Label
- Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
- Note
- "An American Interest Book."
- Bibliography note
- Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index
- Contents
- The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index
- Control code
- 156784828
- Dimensions
- 24 cm
- Extent
- vi, 198 p.
- Isbn
- 9780815729907
- Isbn Type
- (cloth : alk. paper)
- Lccn
- 2007027757
- System control number
- (OCoLC)156784828
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<div class="citation" vocab="http://schema.org/"><i class="fa fa-external-link-square fa-fw"></i> Data from <span resource="http://link.sandiego.edu/portal/Blindside--how-to-anticipate-forcing-events-and/u50OzvN92mM/" typeof="Book http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/Item"><span property="name http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/label"><a href="http://link.sandiego.edu/portal/Blindside--how-to-anticipate-forcing-events-and/u50OzvN92mM/">Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor</a></span> - <span property="potentialAction" typeOf="OrganizeAction"><span property="agent" typeof="LibrarySystem http://library.link/vocab/LibrarySystem" resource="http://link.sandiego.edu/"><span property="name http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/label"><a property="url" href="http://link.sandiego.edu/">University of San Diego Libraries</a></span></span></span></span></div>
