Coverart for item
The Resource Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor

Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor

Label
Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics
Title
Blindside
Title remainder
how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics
Statement of responsibility
Francis Fukuyama, editor
Contributor
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher
Cataloging source
DLC
Index
index present
LC call number
HV551.3
LC item number
.B57 2007
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
Fukuyama, Francis
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Emergency management
  • International relations
  • Wereldcrises
  • Voorspellingen
  • Voorzorg
  • Rampen
  • 11 September 2001
Label
Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
Instantiates
Publication
Note
"An American Interest Book."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index
Contents
The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index
Control code
156784828
Dimensions
24 cm
Extent
vi, 198 p.
Isbn
9780815729907
Isbn Type
(cloth : alk. paper)
Lccn
2007027757
System control number
(OCoLC)156784828
Label
Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor
Publication
Note
"An American Interest Book."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index
Contents
The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index
Control code
156784828
Dimensions
24 cm
Extent
vi, 198 p.
Isbn
9780815729907
Isbn Type
(cloth : alk. paper)
Lccn
2007027757
System control number
(OCoLC)156784828

Library Locations

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