Willful ignorance : the mismeasure of uncertainty

Resource Information

The work Willful ignorance : the mismeasure of uncertainty represents a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in University of San Diego Libraries. This resource is a combination of several types including: Work, Language Material, Books.

Label

Willful ignorance : the mismeasure of uncertainty

Title remainder

the mismeasure of uncertainty

Statement of responsibility

Herbert I. Weisberg, Correlation Research, Inc., Needham, MA

Creator

• Weisberg, Herbert I., 1944-

Author

• Weisberg, Herbert I., 1944-

Subject

• MEDICAL / Public Health
• Probabilities
• Probabilities
• MATHEMATICS / General
• Research -- Methodology
• Research -- Statistical methods
• Research -- Statistical methods
• Research -- Methodology
• MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General

Language

eng

Summary

• "An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public.Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers"--
• "This provocative new book posits how the tacit principle of "willful ignorance" has led to a deep divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research that will increasingly constrain scientific progress unless bridged by a broadened conception of statistical methodology"--

Assigning source

• Provided by publisher
• Provided by publisher

Cataloging source

DLC

Index

index present

LC call number

Q180.55.S7

LC item number

W45 2014

Literary form

non fiction

Nature of contents

bibliography